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999策略白菜手机论坛贸易与发展论坛第97期
时间:2022-12-02    点击数:

 

主讲题目:Food Safety, Crop Choices, and Structural Transformation

主讲嘉宾:奚锡灿,复旦大学经济学院助理教授

时间:12月7日(周三)上午10:00

腾讯会议ID:422-126-502

会议密码:1893

评论人:逄金栋,999策略白菜手机论坛副研究员

主持人:郭汝飞,999策略白菜手机论坛副教授

主办单位:世界经济系,美国加拿大经济研究所


内容摘要:

This paper evaluates the consequences of a food-safety program in China, which prioritized grain production in 800 selected counties after 2010. We find that these counties experienced a substantial decline in the production of cash crops and in agricultural employment after 2010, but their grain output only increased mildly. We then develop a spatial equilibrium model to gauge the aggregate effects of the program, which features heterogeneous worker abilities, sectoral choices and crop choices. To rationalize the empirical findings, the model implies a low correlation of worker abilities to grow cash and grain crops, a key parameter that determines the reallocation between crops. Counterfactual analysis shows that the program has a limited effect on aggregate grain output.

主讲人简介:


奚锡灿,复旦大学经济学院助理教授,研究领域为宏观经济学、发展经济学和环境经济学。研究论文曾发表于Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)、American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics和《管理世界》等学术期刊。


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